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Old 07-24-2002, 01:15 AM   #1
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Post BBC News reports, Astroid Could hit earth causing Massive Damage

BBC News Online science editor


An asteroid discovered just weeks ago has become the most threatening object yet detected in space.
A preliminary orbit suggests that 2002 NT7 is on an impact course with Earth and could strike the planet on 1 February, 2019 - although the uncertainties are large.

Astronomers have given the object a rating on the so-called Palermo technical scale of threat of 0.06, making NT7 the first object to be given a positive value.

From its brightness, astronomers estimate it is about two kilometres wide, large enough to cause continent-wide devastation on Earth.

Many observations

Although astronomers say the object definitely merits attention, they expect more observations to show it is not on an Earth-intersecting trajectory.



This asteroid has now become the most threatening object in the short history of asteroid detection

Dr Benny Peiser
It was first seen on the night of 5 July, picked up by the Linear Observatory's automated sky survey programme in New Mexico, US.

Since then astronomers worldwide have been paying close attention to it, amassing almost 200 observations in a few weeks.

Dr Benny Peiser, of Liverpool John Moores University in the UK, told BBC News Online that "this asteroid has now become the most threatening object in the short history of asteroid detection".

NT7 circles the Sun every 837 days and travels in a tilted orbit from about the distance of Mars to just within the Earth's orbit.

Potential devastation

Detailed calculations of NT7's orbit suggest many occasions when its projected path through space intersects the Earth's orbit.

Researchers estimate that on 1 February, 2019, its impact velocity on the Earth would be 28 km a second - enough to wipe out a continent and cause global climate changes.

However, Dr Peiser was keen to point out that future observations could change the situation.

He said: "This unique event should not diminish the fact that additional observations in coming weeks will almost certainly - we hope - eliminate the current threat."

Easily observable

According to astronomers, NT7 will be easily observable for the next 18 months or so, meaning there is no risk of losing the object.

Observations made over that period - and the fact that NT7 is bright enough that it is bound to show up in old photographs - mean that scientists will soon have a very precise orbit for the object.

Dr Donald Yeomans, of the US space agency's (Nasa) Jet Propulsion Laboratory in California, told BBC News Online: "The orbit of this object is rather highly inclined to the Earth's orbit so it has been missed because until recently observers were not looking for such objects in that region of space."

Regarding the possibility of an impact, Dr Yeomans said the uncertainties were large.

"The error in our knowledge of where NT7 will be on 1 February, 2019, is large, several tens of millions of kilometres," he said.

Dr Yeomans said the world would have to get used to finding more objects like NT7 that, on discovery, look threatening, but then become harmless.

"This is because the problem of Near-Earth Objects is now being properly addressed," he said.



heres the link to the bbc news site....


http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/2147879.stm
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Old 07-24-2002, 02:05 AM   #2
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:sarcasm: Head for the decks, the end of the world is coming!
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Old 07-24-2002, 02:21 AM   #3
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Well, thats some happy piece of news. Let me see, I'll be 34 then. I guess I better live out the next few years to the fullest. I hope it doesn't hit Earth, or we'll all be screwed.
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Old 07-24-2002, 02:24 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally posted by LucyFan
:sarcasm: Head for the decks, the end of the world is coming!
Was that supposed to be funny?
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Old 07-24-2002, 02:41 AM   #5
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Quote:
Originally posted by Ricky Ricardo
Was that supposed to be funny?
Yes, it was. The reason why I said that is because I honestly think it won't hit the earth. Anything could happen from now till
February 1st 2019. I have faith in Christ that everything will be just fine. Getting panicky about it won't do anything but make you worry some more. I think, having a sense of humor about it lessens the worriness. If the asteriod does hit the earth there is nothing we can do about it but pray to the Lord that he'll rescue/save us. Just my thoughts

Please don't take this offensive or personally. It was never intended to. Thanks!
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Old 07-24-2002, 05:30 AM   #6
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So the world is ending, huh?

Well at least I won't have to worry about paying off my Visa bill.

We'd better call Bruce Willis and Ben Affleck and get them on a space shuttle...

Only they can save us now!!!

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Old 07-24-2002, 09:32 AM   #7
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Feb 1, 2019? I'll be 30! Mamma I'm too young to diiiiiiiie!!!!!!!! lol Anyways, I hope it doesn't hit the earth and then yea we'll all be totalli screwed.
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Old 07-24-2002, 09:49 AM   #8
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Well that kind of sucks. I'll be 31 when the asteroid would hit. My mother's birthday is actully Feburary 2. Not a very good presesnt, huh? I seriously hope that nothing happens.
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Old 07-24-2002, 12:02 PM   #9
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......I mean ok. God said the world was going to end some day in time, so it might be then, might not. Simple as that.
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Old 07-24-2002, 01:22 PM   #10
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I'm not worried about the end of the world. After all, it's gotta happen someday, right?
I was in Glasgow yesterday, I was walking down Argyll Street and I heard this weird, like, whistling noise that seemed to be coming from up in the sky. I and a lot of other people on the street looked up - it was like something was falling down on us.....
It turned out to be some kind of wierd aeroplane flying overhead but it did freak me out a wee bit.
That's how I imagine the world ending - hearing an odd noise, looking up and seeing something just flying towards us - BANG!!!! End of story.
I dunno if it'll be an asteroid, if it'll be a bomb, if it'll be an alien craft... I dunno if it'll happen anytime soon but I do know that I don't expect to live to see my 30th birthday.

Which means I have 10 years left.
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Old 07-24-2002, 01:30 PM   #11
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Well... this is not unheard of. Just last March we had another close call, that we had no warning about at all. It'll happen, possibly, one of these millennia. But I'm not gonna panic while I'm waiting. It'll happen when it happens, and we won't live to see the aftermath; we'll simply join the spirits and folklore of the dinosaurs.



March 2002 headline:

Whew! Stealth asteroid nearly blindsides Earth
http://www.cnn.com/2002/TECH/space/0...dside/?related


The space boulder passed Earth within 288,000 miles (461,000 kilometers) -- or 1.2 times the distance to the moon -- on March 8, but since it came from the direction of the sun, scientists did not observe it until four days later.

The object, slightly larger than one that flattened a vast expanse of Siberia in 1908, was one of the 10 closest known asteroids to approach Earth, astronomers said.
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Old 07-24-2002, 02:52 PM   #12
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Only time will tell...

However, I feel that there's no use for paranoia, it has never done any good and never will.
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Old 07-24-2002, 03:44 PM   #13
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Yea, Paranoia can be really bad, kind of how everyone said that the world will end in 2000 withe Y2K craze. And did it happen? No. God will end the end when he wants to and no one wil know when. Just becaiuse scientists say it will happen doesn't mean it really will.
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Old 07-24-2002, 04:37 PM   #14
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I think that God will end the earth when we least expect it, mainly because he told us thats when he would, but you know what i mean. I dont think that the asteroid will amount to be any thing majorly serious. If God was going to end the earth, you think he'd give us that much notice in advance? I dont.
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Old 07-24-2002, 07:23 PM   #15
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Hmmm... I'm not one bit worried about this but I hope the world doesn't end while we're all still alive. That would be quite depressing...but then again if the world ended we'd all be gone so we wouldn't be able to mourn over it. Anyway. Asteroid, please don't hit us.
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