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Old 09-16-2012, 06:58 PM   #1
JamesG
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Cool "Resident Evil: Retribution" Debuts at #1 Box Office

Weekend Report: Resident Evil 5, Nemo 3D Lead Another Slow Weekend
by Ray Subers
September 16, 2012



Two major new releases had fine openings this weekend, though they weren't strong enough to resurrect a depressed domestic box office.





Resident Evil: Retribution opened to an estimated $21.1 million from 3,012 locations this weekend. That's noticeably lower than the last Resident Evil movie ($26.7 million), and also off from Extinction ($23.7 million) and Apocalypse ($23 million).

It did at least open higher than the 2002 original ($17.7 million), though it sold many fewer tickets.



While it's easy to say that Resident Evil's slightly underwhelming performance can be attributed to the slow overall marketplace, it's more likely that sequel-itis is to blame.

Dating back to MIB 3 at the end of May, there have been at least 10 sequels/reboots, and only three of these 10 opened higher than their predecessors. In each of these cases it was by a negligible amount—The Dark Knight Rises at $160.9 million compared to The Dark Knight's $158.4 million, for example—and the more likely scenario is that the sequels experience noticeable declines.

This pattern isn't going to quell sequel production, though, considering how franchise titles like Resident Evil: Retribution continue to show noticeable growth overseas.



The audience was 64 percent male, and 55 percent were 25 years of age or older. Regular 3D showings accounted for 48 percent of ticket sales, while IMAX 3D contributed 14 percent and other large format showings contributed 4 percent.

Resident Evil: Retribution received a terrible "C+" CinemaScore, and will likely plummet next weekend against four new releases.





In second place, Finding Nemo (3D) earned an estimated $17.5 million from 2,904 locations. That doesn't compare favorably to The Lion King's 3D re-release, which opened to $30.2 million on the same weekend last year.

It was at least on par with Beauty and the Beast (3D)'s $17.8 million, though that's a minor consolation.



It's now abundantly clear that The Lion King's performance last year was a fluke. At the time, the notion of a 3D re-release was still fresh and exciting, and The Lion King (3D) felt timely given the movie's imminent Blu-ray release.

Audiences have been hit with three 3D re-releases in the year since, meaning the novelty value has definitely worn off. It also hurts that Finding Nemo's original release was only nine years ago (as opposed to 17 for The Lion King), and nearly every family has a copy of the DVD floating around somewhere.

Considering it's an insanely cheap conversion (definitely less than $10 million) and they didn't market it too aggressively, Disney will ultimately turn a profit, though it's hard to imagine these animated 3D re-releases ever really having a noticeable impact on the bottom line.



As expected, a large portion (71 percent) of the audience was families, and it skewed female (56 percent) as well. 3D showings accounted for 96 percent of ticket sales, which is pretty standard for 3D re-releases.





Two-time champion The Possession eased 38 percent to an estimated $5.8 million, for a new total of $41.2 million.

Lawless dipped just 30 percent to $4.2 million, bringing its total to $30.1 million.

ParaNorman once again rounded out the Top Five with $3.04 million (off 28 percent) for a total of $49.3 million.





Following its terrible debut last weekend, The Words fell 39 percent to an estimated $2.9 million this weekend.

Through 10 days, the Bradley Cooper romantic drama has earned just $9.2 m





Playing in 197 locations, Arbitrage cracked the Top 12 with an estimated $2.07 million. Its $10,508 per-theater average was a bit better than last Fall's Margin Call ($10,034) even though it's playing in over three times as many locations.

Arbitrage will ultimately out-gross Margin Call's $5.35 million, and it could even wind up with more than $10 million.






Last Ounce of Courage opened in 15th place with an atrocious $1.71 million from 1,407 locations.

Unlike many Christian movies which rely primarily on word-of-mouth, Last Ounce actually ran commercials in major markets like Los Angeles (where a movie like this usually doesn't even open), which means this is probably a pretty serious financial disappointment.






Paul Thomas Anderson's highly-anticipated period drama The Master opened to an incredible $730,000 from just five theaters (three in New York and two in Los Angeles).

That translates to a per-theater average of $146,000, which tops Moonrise Kingdom's $130,749 to claim the title of highest average ever for a live-action movie (with the exception of Red State, which needs an asterisk due to its unconventional and insanely expensive Radio City Music Hall debut).

Unlike most buzz-worthy art-house movies that gradually platform, The Master will go from five theaters this weekend to a nationwide release (600+ locations) on Friday.






Nicolas Cage's downfall continued this weekend: his latest movie, Stolen, grossed just $204,000 from 141 theaters.

That is slightly better than March's Seeking Justice ($249,912 from 231 venues), but it's still an awful opening for former A-lister Cage.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3526&p=.htm







September 14-16, 2012 Weekend Studio Estimates:


1. Resident Evil: Retribution $21,100,000
2. Finding Nemo (3D) $17,504,000
3. The Possession $5,800,000 / $41,167,000
4. Lawless $4,219,000 / $30,141,000
5. ParaNorman $3,039,000 / $49,336,000
6. The Expendables 2 $3,030,000 / $80,290,000
7. The Words $2,880,000 / $9,160,000
8. The Bourne Legacy $2,875,000 / $107,817,000
9. The Odd Life of Timothy Green $2,511,000 / $46,284,000
10. The Campaign $2,405,000 / $82,857,000
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