Wilma makes landfall as a Strong Category Three Hurricane near Everglades City, FL - Sitcoms Online Message Boards

Brent88 · 10-15-2005, 06:04 PM

Will be Wilma if/when named.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH MAYBE REQUIRED FOR
FOR GRAND CAYMAN LATER TONIGHT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE POORLY CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.8
WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES... 315 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND
ABOUT 85 MILES... 140 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.

THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING WESTWARD NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR...AND THIS
SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE
WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...17.6 N... 78.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

Brent88 · 10-15-2005, 06:06 PM

Good news? Days from the U.S.

Bad news? It could be a monster by the time it gets here.

Projected path:

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY
SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE VERY WARM WATERS OF THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN...AND WITHIN A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. BOTH SHIPS AND THE
GFDL SUGGEST THAT THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A
COUPLE OF DAYS. IN FACT...THE GFDL MAKES THIS CYCLONE A VERY
INTENSE HURRICANE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN BETWEEN CUBA AND
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST BUT NOT AS AGGRESSIVE AS THE GFDL...AND MORE ALONG THE
LINE OF THE SHIPS MODEL.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AT ABOUT 3 KNOTS. A HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO IS BLOCKING ANY NORTHWARD
MOTION AND IS KEEPING VERY WEAK STEERING CURRENTS AT THIS TIME.
THEREFORE...A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 3
DAYS. BY THEN...A WEAKENING OF THE RIDGE COULD DEVELOP OVER FLORIDA
AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE CYCLONE SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE
SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THIS IS THE SOLUTION PROVIDED BY THE GFDL...THE
UK...THE ECMWF AND THE NOGAPS MODELS. THE GFS DOES NOT
SIGNIFICANTLY DEVELOP THE CYCLONE AND DOES NOT CARRY THE SYSTEM
MORE THAN A DAY OR TWO.

ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT THERE COULD BE A DANGEROUS HURRICANE IN
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IN THE NEXT 3 TO 5 DAYS.
HOWEVER...BOTH GENESIS AND INTENSIFICATION ARE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE.

Chelsea · 10-15-2005, 06:26 PM

OK, time for a lesson in hurricane naming.

It's all but certain this storm will become Tropical Storm Wilma. Wilma is the LAST name on the list o' names used each year for Atlantic tropical systems - a storm named Wilma would tie the record for named systems in the Atlantic in one year at 21 - hence the number used for named storms (Well, that, and it's hard to come up with enough names for Q, U, X, Y, and Z)

So, given that we still have six weeks left in hurricane season in the Atlantic, what happens if they need to name another storm after this one? Glad no one asked.

Any named storms after this one will be named after the Greek alphabet. This means:

TS 22 would be Alpha, TS 23 would be Beta, and so on.

The Greenk Alphabet, for those of you unfamiliar:
Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, Epsilon, Zeta, Eta, Theta, Iota, Kappa, Lambda, Mu, Nu, Xi, Omicron, Pi, Rho, Sigma, Tau, Upsilon, Phi, Chi, Psi, Omega.

Brent88 · 10-15-2005, 06:34 PM

Yep...

Just as a note: The Greek Alphabet has NEVER been used since names began being used in 1950. Vince was also the first V name and Wilma will be the first W name ever. In 1933(which had 21 storms), they did not name systems. If they had, they would have gotten down to the W name, but not farther.

The previous name record was in 1995 when we got down to Tanya.

The average number of named storms is 10...

Kazza · 10-15-2005, 07:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jen1978

I hope it doesn't hit Texas. I hope it doesn't come anywhere close.

Texas!!!! Nooooooooo

Brent88 · 10-15-2005, 07:56 PM

HIGHLY Unlikely it goes to TX/LA. Climatology(being Mid-October with all the troughs coming down) favors a hit on the Florida Peninsula somewhere.

James"Thunder"Early · 10-15-2005, 07:59 PM

Fred Flintstone: WILMA!!

Brent88 · 10-15-2005, 08:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Leland McKenzie

Fred Flintstone: WILMA!!

I've been thinking about that all day.

EmoJoe · 10-15-2005, 09:12 PM

Brent88 · 10-15-2005, 10:48 PM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2005

...SLOWLY MOVING DEPRESSION GRADUALLY ORGANIZING IN THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR ALL OF
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 215 MILES... 345 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT
125 MILES... 205 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH... 6
KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA... WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 6 TO 10
INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...17.0 N... 79.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER KNABB

musicradio77 · 10-15-2005, 11:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seth

It's all but certain this storm will become Tropical Storm Wilma. Wilma is the LAST name on the list o' names used each year for Atlantic tropical systems - a storm named Wilma would tie the record for named systems in the Atlantic in one year at 21 - hence the number used for named storms (Well, that, and it's hard to come up with enough names for Q, U, X, Y, and Z)

You mean, Wilma from "The Flintstones"?

"WILMA!"

Brent88 · 10-16-2005, 12:59 AM

I was just looking at the evening model runs... and WOW. It's a week plus off, but it's unreal. Across Florida Saturday... racing NE Sunday... MASSIVE storm next Monday with SNOW!!! in the Northeast. We're talking worse than any hurricane ever seen before up there.

IT'S A LONG WAY OFF THOUGH.

PrettyinPink55 · 10-16-2005, 01:03 AM

Goodness! Haven't we had enough natural disasters plague the planet this year?

Chelsea · 10-16-2005, 01:44 AM

,,,A hurricane...producing snow instead of rain....

Super. Blizzard.

Wow.

Brent88 · 10-16-2005, 10:41 AM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005

...DEPRESSION STALLED IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR
ABOUT 195 MILES... 315 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.
WHILE A GENERALLY WESTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN EXTREMELY WEAK AND SOME ERRATIC
MOTION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO IS POSSIBLE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEPRESSION TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
6 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...17.1 N... 79.3 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

10-15-2005, 06:04 PM	#1
Brent88 Member Forum Star Join Date: Aug 01, 2003 Location: Alabama Posts: 16,174	Wilma makes landfall as a Strong Category Three Hurricane near Everglades City, FL Will be Wilma if/when named. BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH MAYBE REQUIRED FOR FOR GRAND CAYMAN LATER TONIGHT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE POORLY CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.8 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES... 315 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 85 MILES... 140 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA. THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING WESTWARD NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR...AND THIS SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...17.6 N... 78.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA
	__________________ Brent Last edited by Brent88; 10-24-2005 at 09:03 AM.

10-15-2005, 06:26 PM	#3
Chelsea Semi-retired Forum Veteran Join Date: Jan 07, 2001 Location: Washington Posts: 5,727	OK, time for a lesson in hurricane naming. It's all but certain this storm will become Tropical Storm Wilma. Wilma is the LAST name on the list o' names used each year for Atlantic tropical systems - a storm named Wilma would tie the record for named systems in the Atlantic in one year at 21 - hence the number used for named storms (Well, that, and it's hard to come up with enough names for Q, U, X, Y, and Z) So, given that we still have six weeks left in hurricane season in the Atlantic, what happens if they need to name another storm after this one? Glad no one asked. Any named storms after this one will be named after the Greek alphabet. This means: TS 22 would be Alpha, TS 23 would be Beta, and so on. The Greenk Alphabet, for those of you unfamiliar: Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, Epsilon, Zeta, Eta, Theta, Iota, Kappa, Lambda, Mu, Nu, Xi, Omicron, Pi, Rho, Sigma, Tau, Upsilon, Phi, Chi, Psi, Omega.
	__________________ Chelsea Former Administrator, 2005-2012 Former Member, DVD Review Team, 2004-2010.

10-15-2005, 07:59 PM	#7
James"Thunder"Early Whoever's In New England Forum Veteran Join Date: Feb 23, 2004 Location: The Apollo Posts: 7,088	Fred Flintstone: WILMA!!
	__________________ Esther Anderson: Get thee behind me, Satan, but I'm gon' get behind you, 'cause I'm gonna put my foot in your--- Peggy Mitchell: Get outta my pub! You better pray you get the last laugh, it's a kick in the teeth when you don't get it.

10-15-2005, 09:12 PM	#9
EmoJoe Cool cool cool Forum Addict Join Date: Apr 23, 2004 Location: New Jersey Posts: 71,478
	__________________ "I know the difference between TV and reality, Jeff. TV has structure, it makes sense, there are likable leading men. In real life, we have this. We have you." - Abed Nadir, Community www.sitcomsarestupid.blogspot.com

10-16-2005, 01:03 AM	#13
PrettyinPink55 Member Forum Celebrity Join Date: Feb 11, 2005 Location: Texas Posts: 24,601	Goodness! Haven't we had enough natural disasters plague the planet this year?
	__________________ ♥♥♥

10-15-2005, 06:06 PM	#2
Brent88 Member Forum Star Join Date: Aug 01, 2003 Location: Alabama Posts: 16,174	Good news? Days from the U.S. Bad news? It could be a monster by the time it gets here. Projected path: THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE VERY WARM WATERS OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND WITHIN A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. BOTH SHIPS AND THE GFDL SUGGEST THAT THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. IN FACT...THE GFDL MAKES THIS CYCLONE A VERY INTENSE HURRICANE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN BETWEEN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BUT NOT AS AGGRESSIVE AS THE GFDL...AND MORE ALONG THE LINE OF THE SHIPS MODEL. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AT ABOUT 3 KNOTS. A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO IS BLOCKING ANY NORTHWARD MOTION AND IS KEEPING VERY WEAK STEERING CURRENTS AT THIS TIME. THEREFORE...A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS. BY THEN...A WEAKENING OF THE RIDGE COULD DEVELOP OVER FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE CYCLONE SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THIS IS THE SOLUTION PROVIDED BY THE GFDL...THE UK...THE ECMWF AND THE NOGAPS MODELS. THE GFS DOES NOT SIGNIFICANTLY DEVELOP THE CYCLONE AND DOES NOT CARRY THE SYSTEM MORE THAN A DAY OR TWO. ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT THERE COULD BE A DANGEROUS HURRICANE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IN THE NEXT 3 TO 5 DAYS. HOWEVER...BOTH GENESIS AND INTENSIFICATION ARE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE.

10-15-2005, 06:34 PM	#4
Brent88 Member Forum Star Join Date: Aug 01, 2003 Location: Alabama Posts: 16,174	Yep... Just as a note: The Greek Alphabet has NEVER been used since names began being used in 1950. Vince was also the first V name and Wilma will be the first W name ever. In 1933(which had 21 storms), they did not name systems. If they had, they would have gotten down to the W name, but not farther. The previous name record was in 1995 when we got down to Tanya. The average number of named storms is 10...

10-15-2005, 07:56 PM	#6
Brent88 Member Forum Star Join Date: Aug 01, 2003 Location: Alabama Posts: 16,174	HIGHLY Unlikely it goes to TX/LA. Climatology(being Mid-October with all the troughs coming down) favors a hit on the Florida Peninsula somewhere.

10-15-2005, 10:48 PM	#10
Brent88 Member Forum Star Join Date: Aug 01, 2003 Location: Alabama Posts: 16,174	BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SAT OCT 15 2005 ...SLOWLY MOVING DEPRESSION GRADUALLY ORGANIZING IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN... AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.0 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES... 345 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 125 MILES... 205 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA... WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...17.0 N... 79.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER KNABB

10-16-2005, 12:59 AM	#12
Brent88 Member Forum Star Join Date: Aug 01, 2003 Location: Alabama Posts: 16,174	I was just looking at the evening model runs... and WOW. It's a week plus off, but it's unreal. Across Florida Saturday... racing NE Sunday... MASSIVE storm next Monday with SNOW!!! in the Northeast. We're talking worse than any hurricane ever seen before up there. IT'S A LONG WAY OFF THOUGH.

10-16-2005, 01:44 AM	#14
Chelsea Semi-retired Forum Veteran Join Date: Jan 07, 2001 Location: Washington Posts: 5,727	,,,A hurricane...producing snow instead of rain.... Super. Blizzard. Wow.

10-16-2005, 10:41 AM	#15
Brent88 Member Forum Star Join Date: Aug 01, 2003 Location: Alabama Posts: 16,174	BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005 ...DEPRESSION STALLED IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES... 315 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN. THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. WHILE A GENERALLY WESTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN EXTREMELY WEAK AND SOME ERRATIC MOTION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO IS POSSIBLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEPRESSION TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...17.1 N... 79.3 W. MOVEMENT ...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN