View Full Version : "Rogue One: A Star Wars Story" Opens 2017 w/ #1 Spot for 4th Weekend in a Row


JamesG
12-18-2016, 11:41 PM
Star Wars: Rogue One Debuts with Over $290 Million Worldwide, Collateral Beauty Struggles
by Brad Brevet
December 18, 2016


Disney and Lucasfilm's Rogue One: A Star Wars Story top-lined the fourth largest December three-day weekend ever, delivering the third largest opening of 2016, the twelfth largest opening of all-time and became only the second December opener to debut over $100 million behind last year's monster opening for Star Wars: The Force Awakens.

Fellow new wide release, New Line's Collateral Beauty, didn't fare quite so well, delivering the worst wide opening for a Will Smith-led feature ever, though La La Land continued to impress following last weekend's strong limited debut as it expanded into 200 theaters this weekend.







Debuting with an estimated $155 million domestically from 4,157 theaters, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story is off to a strong start as it is already the 15th highest grossing release of 2016 after just three days. It will, however, soon find itself competing for audience attention over the upcoming holiday season, which features no fewer than five new wide releases as well as the continued expansion of films contending for Oscar attention.

As a result, Rogue One's performance will be interesting to track as it is something of an unprecedented release given it's only the second movie to have ever opened over $100 million in December and yet it won't likely have the sheer staying power of its predecessor, The Force Awakens.



The audience reaction has been strong and the film received an "A" CinemaScore across all demographics as it played to crowds that were 66% male versus 34% female of which 39% were under the age of 25.

It also holds an 84% rating on RottenTomatoes and after its initial user rating on IMDb fell from 8.7 to 7.7 leading up to its release date, it saw a strong uptick as it currently holds an 8.3 rating as opening day audiences show their approval.



Of Rogue One's opening weekend total, only 38% came from 3D showings despite the fact 84% of its 4,157 opening weekend theaters were capable of exhibiting the film in 3-D. Unfortunately, there is no way of telling just how many showings were in 3-D vs. 2-D, which puts that 38% number into some perspective as the theaters capable of showing the film in 3-D most likely also had screens exhibiting the film in 2-D.

A further breakdown of the numbers show the film brought in $19 million from over 400 IMAX screens and $17.9 million from 550 premium large format screenings.



Internationally the film made a splash with an estimated $135.5 million from 54 markets, delivering a $290.5 million worldwide release, finishing just outside the top twenty and currently positioned behind The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1 at $291 million, though that could easily change once actuals are reported.

Of the film's international opening, it brought in an estimated $21 million in the UK, $12.5 million in Germany, $10.8 million in Australia, $10 million in France, $7.9 million in Russia, $5.3 million in Brazil, $5.1 million in Mexico, $4.5 million in Spain, $3.5 million in Sweden and $3.1 million in Italy.

Next weekend sees no new openings for the film, which began its run in ~71% of the international marketplace and still has openings in South Korea (Dec. 28) and China (Jan. 6) to look forward to.







Disney also scored second position at the weekend box office as Moana brought in an estimated $11.6 million, bringing its domestic cume to $161.8 million.

It now beats Star Trek Beyond as the 12th highest grossing release of 2016.







Third place belongs to Paramount's Office Christmas Party, which dipped 50% compared to its opening weekend.

Its domestic cume now stands at $31.5 million.







In fourth is where we find the weekend's other new wide release and compared to Rogue One things weren't quite so rosy for New Line's Collateral Beauty.

The debut of the sentimental holiday weeper in 3,028 theaters delivered the worst wide opening for a Will Smith-led feature ever with an estimated $7 million, well below the previous worst opening, which was last year's $10.5 million debut for Concussion.



Opening day audiences gave the film an "A-" CinemaScore as it played to crowds that were 41% male versus 59% female, of which 74% were over the age of 25.

Looking ahead, the crowded upcoming marketplace doesn't paint a very good picture for the film's future prospects as it would have needed to make a far more impressive impact over its opening weekend to stand out in the crowd.







Rounding out the top five is WB's Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, which brought in an estimated $5 million as its domestic cume now stands at $207.6 million.

The film also added another $14.5 million internationally this weekend from 66 markets as its oversees gross-to-date now stands just shy of $510 million for a worldwide total nearing $720 million.







In sixth position Manchester by the Sea was able to narrowly hold off La La Land by just $136,338 based on estimates.

Given Manchester was playing in 1,008 theaters more than La La that only makes sense as it brought in an estimated $4.15 million from 1,208 theaters ($3,441 per theater) compared to La La Land's $4 million from just 200 theaters ($20,100 per theater).



Both films are now playing internationally as well, with La La Land bringing in an estimated $4.7 million from 14 markets for an early $11.3 million international cume.

Manchester debuted in just its first international market this weekend, delivering an estimated $505,000 from 162 theaters in France for a ninth place finish.







In limited release this weekend, Paramount debuted Denzel Washington's Fences in four theaters in New York and Los Angeles where it brought in an estimated $128,000 for a $32,000 per theater average.

The film, which carries a reported budget around $24 million, will expand nationwide on Christmas Day.







Additional limited releases this weekend include The Orchard's release of Neruda, which brought in an estimated $28,265 from three theaters on the heels of its recent Golden Globe nomination for Best Foreign Language Film.

The film will continue to play in NY & LA through Christmas, then expand to major markets in January.





Overall, the top twelve grossed a combined $204 million this weekend, making it the second largest December three-day weekend ever behind only the same weekend last year.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4252&p=.htm









December 16-18, 2016 Weekend Studio Estimates:


1. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story $155,000,000
2. Moana $11,664,000 / $161,858,745
3. Office Christmas Party $8,450,000 / $31,518,267
4. Collateral Beauty $7,000,000
5. Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them $5,030,000 / $207,681,095
6. Manchester by the Sea $4,156,338 / $14,016,643
7. La La Land $4,020,000 / $5,260,166
8. Arrival $2,775,000 / $86,468,367
9. Doctor Strange $2,036,000 / $226,086,027
10. Nocturnal Animals $1,391,380 / $8,812,746

JamesG
01-02-2017, 02:07 AM
Rogue One Set to Close Out 2016 with Third Straight Weekend at #1
by Brad Brevet
December 29, 2016


The final weekend of 2016 features no new wide releases, but should feature plenty of tickets sold across the country with most everyone getting an extended weekend off work and school.

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story will soon become one of the top fifteen all-time films domestically, and from there is sure to pass Avengers: Age of Ultron's $459 million domestic gross for tenth place on the chart.

At #1 for a third weekend in a row, Rogue One should be looking at a hold that will deliver around $60 million or so for the three-day weekend.







Sing is expected to holdover well, bringing in around $44 million for a second place finish over the three-day as it nears $170 million by the end of the day Monday.

Third place should go to Sony's Passengers with anywhere from $15-17 million for the three-day. The $110 million sci-fi feature disappointed last weekend with $15 million over the holiday three-day as it hopes to top $65 million by end of day Monday.







Next we come to Denzel Washington's Fences, which debuted in four theaters twelve days ago and expanded into 2,233 theaters this past Sunday where it brought in a sturdy $6.6 million followed by $4.9 million on Monday.

Based on that performance the studio has drawn a comparison to last year's Joy, which debuted with $6.8 million on Christmas Day, but that was a Friday and doesn't make for a solid apples-to-apples comparison when attempting to forecast just how well Fences will do this weekend.







Expected to edge out Fences in the top ten are a pair of Fox films in Why Him? and Assassin's Creed. Neither blew the doors off with their debuts last weekend with Why Him? delivering $11 million over the three-day and Assassin's Creed delivering in true video game adaptation fashion with bad reviews and a $17.7 million five-day opening on a $125 million budget.

Both films should bring in around $11-12.5 million over the three-day this weekend.







Also of note within the weekend top ten will be to see how awards season contender La La Land plays after it expanded into 734 theaters last Sunday and ultimately delivered a $5.75 million weekend.

Looking ahead to this weekend, it doesn't seem at all unreasonably to expect upwards of a 60% increase compared to last weekend for a three-day weekend around $9.2 million and even that could be conservative. The film's next expansion will be on January 6, one day after Oscar nominations voting begins.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4254&p=.htm

JamesG
01-09-2017, 08:55 AM
2017 Kicks Off with Tight Race for #1 Between Rogue One and Hidden Figures
by Brad Brevet
January 8, 2017


Domestic weekend estimates are in, but the full story won't be told until actuals arrive Monday afternoon as the top two films are within a mere fraction of one another as severe winter weather had a clear effect on this weekend's grosses.

For the time being Rogue One: A Star Wars Story holds the top spot over Fox's expanded release of Hidden Figures by less than $200,000.

The weekend's lone new wide release, Screen Gems's Underworld: Blood Wars, scored a fourth place finish while Focus's expansion of A Monster Calls failed to generate much interest despite strong reviews and audience response, ultimately finishing outside the top ten.







Currently holding the #1 spot for the weekend is Disney's Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, which dropped 55.7% and finished with an estimated $21.97 million as its domestic cume climbs to $477.2 million.

It is now just $9 million behind Finding Dory as the highest grossing release of 2016.







Hidden Figures expanded nationwide this weekend into 2,471 theaters (+2,446) and finished with an impressive $21.8 million. One factor contributing to the questions surrounding not only its weekend gross, but the weekend gross for all films in release, is several theaters in New York, Philadelphia, Washington, Virginia and parts of the Deep South either closed early yesterday or shut down completely as a result of severe winter weather.

Nevertheless, Hidden Figures is off to an excellent start and its future looks bright after receiving an "A+" CinemaScore from Friday audiences and a 5/5 from PostTrak. The films demographic breakdown as 64% female vs. 36% male with 56% of the audience coming in under the age of 35.







Finishing in third place and perhaps the film that looks to have been the most affected by the winter storm is Universal and Illumination's Sing, bringing in an estimated $19.57 million.

After Friday estimates it was looking like Sing could bring in as much as $25 million this weekend, which only means next weekend's holds for the top three could make for a very good, extended Martin Luther King Jr. weekend.

Sing's domestic cume currently stands at $213.3 million and with an additional $26.4 million coming in internationally this weekend its global cume is now $356.87 million.







In fourth we find Screen Gems' Underworld: Blood Wars, which finished with an estimated $13.1 million domestically from 3,070 theaters. This is the lowest opening for any film in the Underworld franchise, including 2009's Underworld: Rise of the Lycans.

Yet, it did manage a "B+" CinemaScore and with the winter storm affecting the overall box office it could deliver a decent hold next weekend. The studio has yet to report international grosses for Blood Wars as of publication of this article.







Rounding out the top five is Lionsgate's La La Land with an estimated $10 million as its domestic cume climbs to $51.6 million ahead of tonight's Golden Globe Awards where it looks to take home a few top level awards in the Musical/Comedy division including Best Picture and Actress and Actor for its two leads, Emma Stone and Ryan Gosling.

The film will continue to expand next weekend, including opening in select IMAX locations.







Finishing outside the top ten in its expansion weekend is Focus' A Monster Calls, which expanded into 1,523 theaters and brought in an estimated $2 million.

Commenting on the film's performance, Lisa Bunnell, President Distribution for Focus said, "While we're a little disappointed with the expansion this weekend, the CinemaScore (A), exit polls and reviews are all strong. There's certainly a passionate audience that we hope can grow the film over the coming weeks. J.A. Bayona is one of the world's most visionary filmmakers and has made an emotional, visually spectacular film with beautiful performances."







Also expanding this weekend ahead of its nationwide expansion next weekend was Martin Scorsese's Silence, which played in 51 theaters (+47) and brought in an estimated $480,000 ($9,412 per theater).

The film will be heading into approximately 750 theaters next weekend.







The second of next weekend's wide expansions is Ben Affleck's Live by Night, which has had a tough go in limited release. The film has so far brought in just $170,000 from four theaters after 15 days in release and is looking to release in 2,700+ theaters next weekend.

At this point we'll be looking to 2013's Gangster Squad and its $17 million January opening as a bar for comparison.







Finally, the last of next weekend's expansions, and the one that seems to be making the most of its limited release, is Peter Berg's Patriots Day which has played in the same seven locations in New York, Los Angeles and Boston since its release 19 days ago and has so far amassed $870,414.

It too was affected by the winter weather this weekend and as for next weekend it will be heading into ~2,900 theaters with early tracking suggesting a three-day performance anywhere from $15-20 million.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4257&p=.htm









January 6-8, 2017 Weekend Studio Estimates:


1. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story $21,972,000 / $477,273,354
2. Hidden Figures $21,800,000 / $24,754,178
3. Sing $19,573,670 / $213,373,315
4. Underworld: Blood Wars $13,100,000
5. La La Land $10,000,000 / $51,656,587
6. Passengers $8,800,000 / $80,893,043
7. Why Him? $6,500,000 / $48,559,553
8. Moana $6,413,000 / $225,394,182
9. Fences $4,700,000 / $40,663,264
10. Assassin's Creed $3,800,000 / $49,505,783