Brian Damage
10-08-2011, 04:03 AM
1. Real Steel (DreamWorks/Disney) NEW [3,440 Theaters]
Friday $8.7M, Estimated Weekend $27M
2. The Ides Of March (Smokehouse/Sony) NEW [2,199 Theaters]
Friday $3.7M, Estimated Weekend $11M
3. Dolphin Tale (Alcon/Warner Bros) Week 3 [3,478 Theaters]
Friday $2.4M, Estimated Weekend $8.5M, Estimated Cume $48.4M
4. Moneyball (Sony) Week 3 [3,018 Theaters]
Friday $2.1M, Estimated Weekend $7M, Estimated Cume $48.7M
5. 50/50 (Summit Entertainment) Week 2 [2,479 Theaters]
Friday $1.7M (-40%), Estimated Weekend $5.5M, Estimated Cume $17.3M
6. Courageous (Sherwood/Sony) Week 2 [1,161 Theaters]
Friday $1.3M (-56%), Estimated Weekend $4.8M, Estimated Cume $16.1M
7. Dream House (Universal) Week 2 [2,664 Theaters]
Friday $1.3M (-53%), Estimated Weekend $4.5M, Estimated Cume $14.5M
8. Lion King 3D (Disney) Week 4 [2,267 Theaters]
Friday $1.1M, Estimated Weekend $5M, Estimated Cume $86.4M
9. Abduction (Lionsgate) Week 3 [2,591 Theaters]
Friday $875K, Estimated Weekend $3M, Estimated Cume $23.5M
10. What’s Your Number? (Fox) Week 2 [3,011 Theaters]
Friday $1M (-51%), Estimated Weekend $3.2M, Estimated Cume $10.5M
These are very early estimates. But DreamWorks/Disney’s Real Steel is dominating the North American box office today and looking at a mid-$20sM weekend if not higher. Hollywood will only be impressed if the result is mid-$30sM because this action pic has a family overlay and its budget was $110+M. By contrast, director and star George Clooney’s newcomer The Ides Of March from his Smokehouse Pictures and Sony had only a $12.5M production budget after rebates. But this hard-to-sell R-rated adult political thriller co-starring Ryan Gosling is #2 today. It should be in low double digits for the weekend which is the modest showing that Hollywood expected. Alcon Entertainment/Warner Bros’ Dolphin Tale will hold well again and likely come in around $9M by Sunday night. Same with Sony Pictures’ baseball pic Moneyball in the $7.5M range and the studio’s faith-based Sherwood Pictures’ Courageous in the $5.5M range. Summit Entertainment’s cancer dramedy 50/50 should end up in the $5M range. Universal’s Dream House is not so dreamy with a pretty hefty percentage drop. And Disney’s Lion King 3D may be safely back in the cage after its Blu-Ray release.
http://www.deadline.com/2011/10/first-box-office-real-steel-wins-by-tko/
Friday $8.7M, Estimated Weekend $27M
2. The Ides Of March (Smokehouse/Sony) NEW [2,199 Theaters]
Friday $3.7M, Estimated Weekend $11M
3. Dolphin Tale (Alcon/Warner Bros) Week 3 [3,478 Theaters]
Friday $2.4M, Estimated Weekend $8.5M, Estimated Cume $48.4M
4. Moneyball (Sony) Week 3 [3,018 Theaters]
Friday $2.1M, Estimated Weekend $7M, Estimated Cume $48.7M
5. 50/50 (Summit Entertainment) Week 2 [2,479 Theaters]
Friday $1.7M (-40%), Estimated Weekend $5.5M, Estimated Cume $17.3M
6. Courageous (Sherwood/Sony) Week 2 [1,161 Theaters]
Friday $1.3M (-56%), Estimated Weekend $4.8M, Estimated Cume $16.1M
7. Dream House (Universal) Week 2 [2,664 Theaters]
Friday $1.3M (-53%), Estimated Weekend $4.5M, Estimated Cume $14.5M
8. Lion King 3D (Disney) Week 4 [2,267 Theaters]
Friday $1.1M, Estimated Weekend $5M, Estimated Cume $86.4M
9. Abduction (Lionsgate) Week 3 [2,591 Theaters]
Friday $875K, Estimated Weekend $3M, Estimated Cume $23.5M
10. What’s Your Number? (Fox) Week 2 [3,011 Theaters]
Friday $1M (-51%), Estimated Weekend $3.2M, Estimated Cume $10.5M
These are very early estimates. But DreamWorks/Disney’s Real Steel is dominating the North American box office today and looking at a mid-$20sM weekend if not higher. Hollywood will only be impressed if the result is mid-$30sM because this action pic has a family overlay and its budget was $110+M. By contrast, director and star George Clooney’s newcomer The Ides Of March from his Smokehouse Pictures and Sony had only a $12.5M production budget after rebates. But this hard-to-sell R-rated adult political thriller co-starring Ryan Gosling is #2 today. It should be in low double digits for the weekend which is the modest showing that Hollywood expected. Alcon Entertainment/Warner Bros’ Dolphin Tale will hold well again and likely come in around $9M by Sunday night. Same with Sony Pictures’ baseball pic Moneyball in the $7.5M range and the studio’s faith-based Sherwood Pictures’ Courageous in the $5.5M range. Summit Entertainment’s cancer dramedy 50/50 should end up in the $5M range. Universal’s Dream House is not so dreamy with a pretty hefty percentage drop. And Disney’s Lion King 3D may be safely back in the cage after its Blu-Ray release.
http://www.deadline.com/2011/10/first-box-office-real-steel-wins-by-tko/