This is getting more serious folks. Good chance he will have winds greater than 115 mph at landfall. If the current track holds, he will slam ashore near Tampa tomorrow evening. Storm surge will be devastating if it happens. Here's the latest:

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 13...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

CORRECTED FOR ADVISORY NUMBER FROM 12 TO 13

...CHARLEY GETTING A LITTLE STRONGER...HURRICANE WATCH EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO BONITA BEACH. THE WARNING
WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. THE
HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO THE
SUWANNEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING ALL OF
FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA EAST COAST LATER TODAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO
...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF
YOUTH.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS FOR JAMAICA.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...INFORMATION FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
AND RADAR FROM CUBA INDICATE THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST OR ABOUT
25 MILES... 40 KM... NORTH OF GRAND CAYMAN.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A
TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE EXPECTED IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS. STORM
SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...19.7 N... 81.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART

Yeah I just bought some canned food and bottled water. But the storm would have weakened some by the time it arrives where I'm at.

Now it's very serious. Rapidly strengthening! :eek: :(

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...CHARLEY RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AS IT
MOVES TOWARD WESTERN CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO BONITA BEACH. THE WARNING
WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO
THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING ALL OF
FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA EAST COAST LATER TODAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF
WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO ...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...
MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
HOWEVER...THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...INFORMATION FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
AND RADARS FROM CUBA INDICATE THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST OR ABOUT
190 MILES... 305 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...CHARLEY IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER OR JUST
EAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS MAKES CHARLEY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND CHARLEY COULD BECOME A CATEGORY
THREE OR MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST OF CUBA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE EXPECTED IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS. STORM
SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...20.4 N... 81.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 PM EDT.

Let's hope it weakens quickly. I will be following it on the Weather Channel.

I remember hurricane Andrew (1992) very well. Also hurricane Hugo (1989).

it's been pouring here all day, floods are popping up everywhere

Now forecast to have winds of 120 mph when it slams into Tampa tomorrow evening.

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD WESTERN CUBA...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO BAYPORT. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS
TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST
CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO BAYPORT. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TONIGHT. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM NORTH OF BAYPORT NORTHWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING ALL OF
FLORIDA BAY. AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM JUPITER INLET
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF
WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...
MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. AT 5 PM...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST OR ABOUT 140
MILES... 230 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH
...30 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...CHARLEY IS EXPECTED TO
PASS NEAR THE ISLE OF YOUTH TONIGHT AND NEAR HAVANA CUBA FRIDAY
MORNING. WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO DETERIORATE OVER
WESTERN CUBA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS MAKES CHARLEY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND CHARLEY COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 14 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
SOUTH COAST OF CUBA NEAR AND EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL. IN ADDITION...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS ALSO
POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA
WEST COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...21.2 N... 81.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

We're getting ready for this storm, too.


What part of Florida are you guys from?


Feen

It's gonna affect me >_<

I'm in Florida, but I don't think it will hit my area directly, though we'll definitely feel the brunt of it. I live around the Melbourne/Vero Beach area. We had some rain (very brief but VERY windy and heavy) today as well as a Tornado watch. I don't wish this hurricane on Tampa or anyplace in Florida, but I'm hoping it doesn't turn more south and hit my area.

I've heard Bonnie is now just a tropical storm/depression. I didn't follow that one too closely, but it seems to have lost some strength along the way. I wish Charley would... LOL. I hate hurricanes.

Originally posted by TVJunkie101
I'm in Florida, but I don't think it will hit my area directly, though we'll definitely feel the brunt of it. I live around the Melbourne/Vero Beach area. We had some rain (very brief but VERY windy and heavy) today as well as a Tornado watch. I don't wish this hurricane on Tampa or anyplace in Florida, but I'm hoping it doesn't turn more south and hit my area.

I've heard Bonnie is now just a tropical storm/depression. I didn't follow that one too closely, but it seems to have lost some strength along the way. I wish Charley would... LOL. I hate hurricanes.

Well I live around the Cocoa/Rockledge area. I remember Hurricane Floyd that was pretty scary! I'm no fan of lightning either:(


Feen

My Aunt lives close to Tampa Bay. Stay Safe everyone.

Slamming into Cuba right now.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT2/IR4/20.jpg

Forecast to be just west of the Florida Keys in the morning then it will parallel the coast until landfall(near Tampa or a little north of there). This will put everyone in Florida in the worst part of the storm. A 10 to 14 foot storm surge is expected in Tampa Bay and significant flooding is expected.

That's nothing. Here in Louisiana, we get hurricanes almost every year. In October 2002, we had two big ones strike one week apart, both on a Wednesday night/Thursday morning.

Thing is, in Florida, we've got this water surrounding us - called the Atlantic Ocean, lol. I'm down the street from the river - I hope no alligators get washed up in our yard. One year, a storm came through and cause the river to over flow, so we had fish, seaweed, shells, rocks, everything in our yard and streaming down the street.


Feen

Originally posted by Moondance
Thing is, in Florida, we've got this water surrounding us - called the Atlantic Ocean, lol. I'm down the street from the river - I hope no alligators get washed up in our yard. One year, a storm came through and cause the river to over flow, so we had fish, seaweed, shells, rocks, everything in our yard and streaming down the street.


Feen

Ever woke up to find a coffin floating through your yard? Nah, me neither, but it happens a lot in New Orleans, I've heard.

The thing is, JT, The West Central coast of Florida hasn't had a hurricane hit since 1960(44 YEARS AGO!). A major hurricane hasn't hit Tampa since 1921. That is why this is serious. :(

K3WL M4N.

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...CHARLEY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT APPROACHES WESTERN
CUBA...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A
HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE
RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
PROVINCES OF WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE
LA HABANA...MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
AT 11 PM...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM JUPITER INLET TO OCEAN
REEF...AND NORTHWARD ALONG THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS TO
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN U. S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH
SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR BETWEEN THE ISLE
OF YOUTH AND THE CUBAN MAINLAND 55 MILES...90 KM...SOUTH OF HAVANA
CUBA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. THIS
MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF CHARLEY NEAR HAVANA IN THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...THEN ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TOWARD THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST LATER FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS MAKES CHARLEY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND CHARLEY IS FORECAST TO BE A MAJOR
HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 14 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
SOUTH COAST OF CUBA NEAR AND EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL. IN ADDITION...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS ALSO
POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA
WEST COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...22.2 N... 82.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.

http://ratfish.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT03/refresh/AL0304W+GIF/130318W.gif

That hurricane BETTER GET ITS ASS OUTTA THERE WITHIN THE NEXT 5 DAYS. I will be in Florida(orlando) on vacation with some friends starting next thursday. If it ****s me out of a $1,000 i'm going to be HELLA PISSED.

Originally posted by Nirvana
That hurricane BETTER GET ITS ASS OUTTA THERE WITHIN THE NEXT 5 DAYS. I will be in Florida(orlando) on vacation with some friends starting next thursday. If it ****s me out of a $1,000 i'm going to be HELLA PISSED.

It'll be long gone by then. This will be moving quickly once it hits land.

I bet that once it hits the cold coastal waters, it'll cool off and slow down. By the time it enters Georgia, it'll be just a series of showers.

To everyone who is in the area of the hurricane, stay safe.

peacesign: peacesign:

Originally posted by Moondance
Well I live around the Cocoa/Rockledge area. I remember Hurricane Floyd that was pretty scary! I'm no fan of lightning either:(


Feen

NO WAY!! I live in Port St.John! I just didn't think that anybody on SO would live so close to me. I don't know how old you are but were you here when Hurricane Erin hit here in 1993? No electricity for a week. That was fun.:rolleyes:

Looks like those of us living along the Texas/Louisiana Gulf Coast are going to be spared this season. Stay safe, guys.

Hurricane Charley is strengthening as it nears the florida coast... Everyone in its path stay safe!

000
WTNT33 KNHC 130848
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...HURRICANE CHARLEY IN THE FLORIDA STRAITS...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A
HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
PROVINCES OF WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE
LA HABANA...MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

AT 5 AM...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA
AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG
THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE
SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U. S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF
NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135
KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGHTENING IS POSSIBLE AND
CHARLEY IS FORECAST TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A HURRICANE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE
WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...23.9 N... 82.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM EDT AND 9 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA


$$


Notice, this is a Friday the 13th Hurricane.

7am Advisory on Charley...It is becoming better organized.

000
WTNT33 KNHC 131054
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...HURRICANE CHARLEY ON TRACK...WIND GUSTS TO 124 MPH IN CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA
COASTS FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY
AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U. S.
COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM
NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.

AT 7 AM EDT...1100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR CUBA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

AT 7 AM EDT...1100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...120
KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AND CHARLEY IS FORECAST TO
BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM. PRELIMINARY REPORTS FROM CUBA INDICATE THAT
PEAK WINDS OF NEAR 124 MPH...200 KM/HR WERE MEASURED JUST WEST OF
HAVANA NEAR THE EYE OF THE HURRICANE.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A HURRICANE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 969 MB...28.61 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE
WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 7 AM EDT POSITION...24.3 N... 82.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 969 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 9 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

$$

Tampa Bay officials are calling it the "worst case scenario".

I hope everyone is ready or will be VERY soon. :(

Very bad, up to 125 mph, which is a Strong Category Three. Strongest hurricane to hit the United States since Andrew in 1992.

Going to be a high death toll. Be prepared.

Landfall will be south of Tampa between Venice and Fort Myers by 5-6pm EDT tonight.

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE
RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN
EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH
FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA
BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.
COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM
THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA
INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD
REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE
SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A
FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER
TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND
SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA
COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND
SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH
ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE

Holy ****

OK, now our local news is saying Charley is taking more of an easterly turn and is going to hit closer to Orlando than originally thought. Now where I live, the hurricane center has upgraded us to hurricane winds warning for tonight. I live on the east side of Fla.:help

Me, getting through the storm--:drink:

Winds in Charley have risen to over 131MPH, it is a Category 4 Hurricane. It doesnt get a whole lot worse than this.

145 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS!!! This is as bad as Andrew in 1992!

:eek2:

Billion dollar disaster. It has exploded in intensity in the last 3 hours. I'm completely stunned. This is VERY VERY BAD. :eek: :(

Originally posted by Brent88
145 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS!!! This is as bad as Andrew in 1992!

:eek2:

Billion dollar disaster. It has exploded in intensity in the last 3 hours. I'm completely stunned. This is VERY VERY BAD. :eek: :( :eek: if I was anywhere near florida, I'd be drunk right now.

Originally posted by Brent88
145 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS!!! This is as bad as Andrew in 1992!

:eek2:

Billion dollar disaster. It has exploded in intensity in the last 3 hours. I'm completely stunned. This is VERY VERY BAD. :eek: :(

This is incredible.

000
WTNT61 KNHC 131716
TCUAT
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
115 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

AT 115 PM EDT...1715Z...A U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT MEASURED 10000 FT FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 162 MPH AT A
DISTANCE OF 8 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE. THIS GIVES
AN ESTIMATED SURFACE WIND OF 145 MPH...CATEGORY FOUR ON THE SAFFIR
SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY.

LAWRENCE

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS TO CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AND HEADS FOR
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A
HURRICANE WATCH ARE ALSO ISSUED FROM NORTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH FLORIDA...
INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA
INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY
OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR FLORIDA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONCENTRATED IN A VERY SMALL AREA
NEAR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN WIND SPEED
MAY OCCUR BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER
TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND
SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH
LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...26.0 N... 82.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 954 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.

If that storm strengthens just a bit it could be a Category 5. So yeah...This is just about as bad as it gets. Should be two hours or less before it makes landfall near Fort Myers.

It's starting to come more towards my way I live in Merritt Island.

Wow- This Is Getting Really Bad. A Year Ago Like Today I Was In Fort Myers/Naples Florida Where The Hurricane Is Hitting...

2 Bad Events In A Row For 2 Years. Last Year It Was The Blackout, Now It Is The Hurricane...

Stay Safe Everyone...God Bless...:)

Originally posted by bad_boy
It's starting to come more towards my way I live in Merritt Island.

Wow, another local!! I don't know if you read my other post but I live in Port St.John and Moondance lives in the Cocoa/Rockledge area. This storm is coming closer to us than I expected, but I'm just going to tough it out at my house. I just brought in my patio furniture and the flags I got hanging out front.

Ah, I'm excited and worried at the same time. I live in northeast Florida, and I have no idea how affected I'm going to be.

Yesterday there was a tornado near my school, and I think I saw the cloud that produced it. I'm 99% sure.

The winds were measured at 111mph at the Punta Gorda airport weather station just before the anemometer failed. I was watching that station on the WeatherBug and it was weird to see it go up to 87mph sustained with a gust to 109 mph and then go straight to 0mph.

Orlando is getting hit hard. At Orlando International the wind is sustained at 69 mph and gusting to over 105 mph.

I hope that Disney World and other theme parks won't get hit by a hurricane.

Originally posted by Full House
I hope that Disney World and other theme parks won't get hit by a hurricane.

I'm sure they did get hit. Spaceship Earth is rolling down I-95 as we speak.

Originally posted by Full House
I hope that Disney World and other theme parks won't get hit by a hurricane. Unfortunetly Disney World took a direct hit from Charley and likely experienced wind gusts of over 100 mph.

Originally posted by I am Him
I'm sure they did get hit. Spaceship Earth is rolling down I-95 as we speak.

I'll check it out on the Weather Channel during the Olympics' opening ceremony.:)

i wonder how much got wiped out by hurricane sarah. hopefully a lot. then i could live up to my name.

On the Horizon - Another Possible Storm:
Hurricane trackers have reported another depression that could soon be a tropical storm southeast of Cuba and about five days away from Florida.


**** **** **** **** ****!

and that damn Castle better still be there when i'm there!:lol:

Originally posted by Stormtracker TF
Unfortunetly Disney World took a direct hit from Charley and likely experienced wind gusts of over 100 mph.

According to the Weather Channel, Charley will hit NYC when it reaches north by Sunday.:eek:

Here's the 11PM Advisory:

000
WTNT33 KNHC 140239
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA ON THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ON THE
NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA COASTS NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO
CHINCOTEAGUE...INCLUDING THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH
POINT.

AT 11 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE IS
DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
JUPITER INLET TO COCOA BEACH FLORIDA.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WILL
MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR DAYTONA BEACH DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY
MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE THE CENTER OF CHARLEY MOVES BACK
OVER WATER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...MCCOY AIRPORT IN ORLANDO
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 77 MPH WITH A GUST OF 105 MPH. SANFORD
FLORIDA HAS RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 92 MPH.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA SHOULD SUBSIDE TONIGHT. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FT
IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF CHARLEY CROSSES THE
COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE
REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF
CHARLEY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL SOUTH
AND NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...29.1 N... 81.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

Originally posted by Nirvana
On the Horizon - Another Possible Storm:
Hurricane trackers have reported another depression that could soon be a tropical storm southeast of Cuba and about five days away from Florida.


**** **** **** **** ****!

and that damn Castle better still be there when i'm there!:lol:

Yes, Tropical Depression Five has formed. The NHC expects it to become a Hurricane. Also, in the extreme eastern Atlantic, Tropical Storm Danielle just formed. The season has become very busy all of the sudden, it seems.

Originally posted by cheers_rules
Yes, Tropical Depression Five has formed. The NHC expects it to become a Hurricane. Also, in the extreme eastern Atlantic, Tropical Storm Danielle just formed. The season has become very busy all of the sudden, it seems.

Yes... Danielle will defintely not affect the U.S., but TD 5 looks like a repeat of Charley.

Looks like Charley will make landfall near Charleston in the morning with winds around 90 mph.

2AM Intermediate Advisory on Charley:

000
WTNT33 KNHC 140553
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

...CHARLEY EXITING FLORIDA...HEADING FOR THE CAROLINAS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA ON THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ON THE NORTH CAROLINA AND
VIRGINIA COASTS NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO CHINCOTEAGUE...INCLUDING
THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM JUPITER INLET
TO JUST SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH FLORIDA IS DISCONTINUED.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
OVER THE ATLANTIC NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST
OR ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...AND

THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...CHARLEY WILL BE NEARING
THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST LATER TODAY.

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT CHARLEY IS STILL A
HURRICANE AFTER MOVING ACROSS FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE TODAY AS THE CENTER MOVES OVER WARM WATER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 993
MB...28.50 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FT IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER OF CHARLEY CROSSES THE COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO
7 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF
CHARLEY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL
GEORGIA...SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...30.1 N... 80.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

The center is now back over open water so it may strengthen some before it hits land again.

If it hits Boynton Beach, I'm flinging myself off the roof.

Originally posted by -*Forever*-
If it hits Boynton Beach, I'm flinging myself off the roof.

Boynton Beach, FL? It's already passed.

Devastating reports coming from Punta Gorda in Charlotte County where the most intense part of the hurricane came ashore. Authorities have ordered 60 body bags, and say they may need more. Bodies are reportedly stacked up as police stand guard. 2 refrigeration trucks have been seen headed to a major mobile home park as well. :( :( :(

That's on the MAINLAND. Still no word from the barrier islands, or some of the other towns around Punta Gorda.

Lots of people reported missing as well. If these numbers are anywhere close to right, it will be much deadlier than Andrew.

8:00am advisory:

HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

...CHARLEY NEARS SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY INCLUDING ALL
OF THE TIDAL POTOMAC...CHESAPEAKE AND DELAWARE BAYS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO THE
MERRIMACK RIVER INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...CHARLEY WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE MID-ATLANTIC COASTAL STATES TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS
993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FT IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER OF CHARLEY CROSSES THE COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO
5 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF
CHARLEY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL SOUTH AND
NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...32.3 N... 79.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.

I just spent most of the morning cleaning up branches from my yard. I have tall trees in my backyard and a really huge branch broke off and landed on part of my wooden fence. Took all my strength to get it off my fence. Well, it could've been alot worse here. My sister said we were lucky that Charley didn't come on land on the east side of Fla. I'm pretty sure I would hardly have a house standing! I certainly feel for the people in SW Fla.

what is this I hear about some hoe named Danielle?

Originally posted by phoebe7165
NO WAY!! I live in Port St.John! I just didn't think that anybody on SO would live so close to me. I don't know how old you are but were you here when Hurricane Erin hit here in 1993? No electricity for a week. That was fun.:rolleyes:

Hey to you!:) It's weird finding people so close to where you live on a board, huh? Haha! I remember hurricane Erin but I was on vacation when it hit! LOL I think we were in Indiana or Tennessee, LOL! I've been to Port St. John lots of times, too! Hurricane Floyd was the first hurricane I was in and that hit during the day (talk about cool -;) )

Feen

Originally posted by JT
Ever woke up to find a coffin floating through your yard? Nah, me neither, but it happens a lot in New Orleans, I've heard.


Now why does the movie Poltergeist flash in my head? Ewww!


Feen

Originally posted by Nirvana
what is this I hear about some hoe named Danielle?

She's no threat to land.

The one to watch is newly-formed Tropical Storm Earl. He's forecast to be moving into the Gulf Thursday as a significant hurricane. Yes. You heard right. Deja vu all over again.

Here 'ya go:

TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT AUG 14 2004

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO FIFTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE
GRENADINES...THE TRINIDAD-TOBAGO METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES HAS ISSUED
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS
DEPENDENCIES...AND THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA. INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE HAS
INTENSIFIED INTO TROPICAL STORM EARL.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.5 WEST OR ABOUT 375
MILES... 605 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.

EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH
...39 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE STORM WILL MOVE OVER PORTIONS
OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON SUNDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL BE DETERIORATING TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
EARL.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...10.8 N... 54.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH

Projected path:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0504W5+GIF/142058W5.gif

Originally posted by Brent88
She's no threat to land.

The one to watch is newly-formed Tropical Storm Earl. He's forecast to be moving into the Gulf Thursday as a significant hurricane. Yes. You heard right. Deja vu all over again.



what are the odds that it will hit Orlando?

Originally posted by Nirvana
what are the odds that it will hit Orlando?

Not sure yet. My GUESS is relatively small, but it's too far out. It's still about a week away.

Now that Hurricane Charley was downgraded to a tropical storm yesterday. But now, Charley is gone forever.:clap:

Originally posted by Full House
Now that Hurricane Charley was downgraded to a tropical storm yesterday. But now, Charley is gone forever.:clap:

Also, Earl has weakened quite abit. In fact, it has been downgraded to a Tropical Wave...

000
WTNT45 KNHC 161420
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON AUG 16 2004

THIS MORNING...A U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS UNABLE TO FIND A CLOSED CIRCULATION IN EARL. THIS IS ALSO
THE CASE WITH A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. SO EARL HAS DEGENERATED INTO
AN OPEN TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. THE WAVE IS
MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 22 KT. SURFACE WINDS OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE ARE IN THE 25 TO 35
KT RANGE.

THE SHIPS AND GFDL MODELS SHOW THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE
WAVE TO RE-INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS
AS THE SYSTEM HEADS FOR THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS WILL BE
THE LAST ADVISORY UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. ANOTHER
RECONNAISSANCE MISSION IS SCHEDULED FOR TOMORROW MORNING.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 16/1500Z TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 71.0W WITH 35 KT WINDS

$$

Danielle is also expected to begin weakening soon, but it is far from land.